Path to Net Deflation

Note: The numbers in this document are indicative and not final. They reflect the current framework discussed in Townhall 23 and may change based on community feedback and final launch parameters. We recommend reading this alongside the Townhall recording for full context.

The network becomes structurally deflationary when annual token burn exceeds annual emissions.

Deflation Condition

Net deflation occurs when:

Burnt>EtBurn_t > E_t

Where:

  • E_t = total annual emissions

  • Burn_t = tokens purchased and burned from revenue

Burn is determined by:

Burnt=0.75โ€‰RtPtBurn_t = \frac{0.75 \, R_t}{P_t}

Therefore, the deflation condition becomes:

0.75โ€‰RtPt>Et\frac{0.75 \, R_t}{P_t} > E_t

Solving for required revenue:

Rt>Etโ€‰Pt0.75R_t > \frac{E_t \, P_t}{0.75}

This defines the minimum revenue needed to achieve net supply contraction at a given token price.

Emission Schedule (600M Baseline)

Year 1:

E1=540,000,000E_1 = 540{,}000{,}000

Year 2:

E2=486,000,000E_2 = 486{,}000{,}000

Year 3:

E3=437,400,000E_3 = 437{,}400{,}000

Revenue Projections

  • Year 1: $89.9M

  • Year 2: $134.9M

  • Year 3: $202.4M

Buyback budget each year:

0.75ร—Rt0.75 \times R_t

Crossover Analysis at Different Token Prices

Case A : Token Price = $0.05

Required revenue for deflation (Year 1):

R>540,000,000ร—0.050.75R > \frac{540{,}000{,}000 \times 0.05}{0.75}
R>36,000,000R > 36{,}000{,}000

Actual projected revenue: $89.9M

Result: Deflation achieved in Year 1

Case B : Token Price = $0.10

Required revenue (Year 1):

R>72,000,000R > 72{,}000{,}000

Projected revenue: $89.9M

Result: Deflation achieved in Year 1

Case C : Token Price = $0.20

Required revenue (Year 1):

R>144,000,000R > 144{,}000{,}000

Projected revenue: $89.9M

Result: Not deflationary in Year 1

Year 2 requirement:

R>486,000,000ร—0.200.75R > \frac{486{,}000{,}000 \times 0.20}{0.75}
R>129,600,000R > 129{,}600{,}000

Projected Year 2 revenue: $134.9M

Result: Deflation achieved in Year 2

Case D โ€” Token Price = $0.50

Year 1 requirement:

R>360,000,000R > 360{,}000{,}000

Not achieved.

Year 2 requirement:

R>324,000,000R > 324{,}000{,}000

Not achieved.

Year 3 requirement:

R>437,400,000ร—0.500.75R > \frac{437{,}400{,}000 \times 0.50}{0.75}
R>291,600,000R > 291{,}600{,}000

Projected Year 3 revenue: $202.4M

Result: Not yet deflationary at $0.50 by Year 3.

Summary Table

Token Price
Crossover Year

$0.05

Year 1

$0.10

Year 1

$0.20

Year 2

$0.50

Beyond Year 3


Structural Insight

Because:

  • Emissions decline 10% annually

  • Revenue scales with network growth

The revenue threshold for deflation declines over time.

As broadband adoption increases, the system naturally transitions from:

Early-stage inflation โ†’ Neutral supply โ†’ Net deflation.

The crossover year is mathematically determined by revenue growth, token price, and emission decay, not speculation.

This creates a transparent and measurable path toward structural supply contraction.

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