Path to Net Deflation
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Note: The numbers in this document are indicative and not final. They reflect the current framework discussed in Townhall 23 and may change based on community feedback and final launch parameters. We recommend reading this alongside the Townhall recording for full context.
The network becomes structurally deflationary when annual token burn exceeds annual emissions.
Net deflation occurs when:
Where:
E_t = total annual emissions
Burn_t = tokens purchased and burned from revenue
Burn is determined by:
Therefore, the deflation condition becomes:
Solving for required revenue:
This defines the minimum revenue needed to achieve net supply contraction at a given token price.
Year 1:
Year 2:
Year 3:
Year 1: $89.9M
Year 2: $134.9M
Year 3: $202.4M
Buyback budget each year:
Required revenue for deflation (Year 1):
Actual projected revenue: $89.9M
Result: Deflation achieved in Year 1
Required revenue (Year 1):
Projected revenue: $89.9M
Result: Deflation achieved in Year 1
Required revenue (Year 1):
Projected revenue: $89.9M
Result: Not deflationary in Year 1
Year 2 requirement:
Projected Year 2 revenue: $134.9M
Result: Deflation achieved in Year 2
Year 1 requirement:
Not achieved.
Year 2 requirement:
Not achieved.
Year 3 requirement:
Projected Year 3 revenue: $202.4M
Result: Not yet deflationary at $0.50 by Year 3.
$0.05
Year 1
$0.10
Year 1
$0.20
Year 2
$0.50
Beyond Year 3
Because:
Emissions decline 10% annually
Revenue scales with network growth
The revenue threshold for deflation declines over time.
As broadband adoption increases, the system naturally transitions from:
Early-stage inflation โ Neutral supply โ Net deflation.
The crossover year is mathematically determined by revenue growth, token price, and emission decay, not speculation.
This creates a transparent and measurable path toward structural supply contraction.
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